90 seconds to Boston

UPDATED! The analysis has been updated. The latest analysis is available here: http://boston-qualifier-stats.blogspot.ca/2015/08/santa-rosa-marathon-sways-boston-cutoff.html

With 22 of the top 25 feeder marathons complete, the current trend for the 2016 Boston Marathon Cutoff is 90 seconds. (or 91 if you're a pessimist).

Only 3 more left (Grandma's, Santa Rosa and Lehigh).

The Caveats:
The analysis assumes a lot of assumptions. I have outlined the objective and methodology on this page. Basically, I look at the number of people who qualified for the 2015 race, using the "feeder marathons". To qualify for the 2015 race, participants needed a BQ minus 1m2s. These races were all run last year. I then look at the same races for this year, and see how many people would qualify using the same cutoff.  If fewer people qualify, then I decrease to cutoff (make it easier to qualify), until the same number of people qualify as did last year. Conversely, if more people make the 1m2s cutoff than last year, I increase the cutoff (making it harder to qualify) until the same number of people qualify.


Table 1: Year vs Year, By Marathon

	2015 Qualifying Year				2016 Qualifying Year
Marathon	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
Big Cottonwood	1,308	262	244	19 %	1,527	284	252	17 %
Erie	978	312	280	29 %	959	317	289	30 %
Berlin	36,122	5,769	5,455	15 %	29,027	4,530	4,308	15 %
St. George	5,818	1,198	1,137	20 %	5,806	997	939	16 %
Twin Cities	8,855	1,010	953	11 %	8,853	1,041	967	11 %
Portland	6,945	504	470	7 %	6,429	429	395	6 %
Chicago	38,854	3,527	3,314	9 %	40,581	4,004	3,762	9 %
Steamtown	2,165	377	359	17 %	2,184	431	408	19 %
Columbus	5,523	611	561	10 %	5,445	620	581	11 %
Toronto Waterfront	3,604	487	453	13 %	3,971	654	601	15 %
Baystate	1,304	301	271	21 %	1,531	378	350	23 %
Marine Corps	23,385	1,170	1,073	5 %	19,687	718	662	3 %
New York City	50,134	3,980	3,725	7 %	50,433	3,629	3,400	7 %
Indianapolis Mon'tal	3,521	518	483	14 %	3,725	594	552	15 %
Richmond	4,842	441	418	9 %	5,095	520	487	10 %
Philadelphia	10,914	1,341	1,252	11 %	10,333	1,337	1,235	12 %
California International	6,238	1,292	1,195	19 %	5,793	1,291	1,185	20 %
Houston	6,945	698	651	9 %	7,133	698	648	9 %
Boston	31,210	10,564	10,046	32 %	26,635	12,792	12,218	46 %
Bayshore	2,017	314	300	15 %	2,008	341	329	16 %
Ottawa	5,324	812	745	14 %	4,501	806	750	17 %
Mountains 2 Beach	1,617	399	370	23 %	1,586	452	419	26 %
TOTAL	257,623	35,887	33,755	13 %	243,242	36,863	34,737	14 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Analysis
Looking at the table above: 257,623 runners finished a 2015 qualifying race, whereas 243,242 finished a 2016 race: 14,000 fewer people. However, more people met the minimum BQ standard 35,499 for the 2016 qualifying year versus 34,729 for the 2015 qualifying year. Moreover, more people met the 1 minute and 2 second cutoff in the 2016 qualifying year so far than did in 2015.

If the Boston Marathon registration opened today - assuming the same proportion of qualified runners apply for the race (see objective and methodology) - there wouldn't be enough spots for everyone. We have to increase the cutoff so that we whittle the 34,737 people (who met the 2015 cutoff in a 2016 qualifying race) down to 33,755 the number of people who met the Cutoff for 2015.

Through a numerical modelling approach, the answer to the solution, of what the cutoff should be becomes 90 seconds.

At 90 seconds, 33,765 people will make it into the marathon. (10 more than this year).

At 91 seconds, 33,731 people will make it into the marathon. (24 fewer than this year)

Table 2: Projected qualifiers by AG based on an 90 second cutoff.

AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015 @62s	BQ2016 @90s	BQ2016%
F18-34	41,240	5,136	4,840	4,711	11 %
F35-39	16,721	2,440	2,306	2,248	13 %
F40-44	16,225	2,476	2,302	2,230	14 %
F45-49	12,094	2,539	2,383	2,308	19 %
F50-54	7,942	1,572	1,486	1,443	18 %
F55-59	3,978	844	798	787	20 %
F60-64	1,621	383	366	362	22 %
F65-69	513	111	109	107	21 %
F70-74	155	32	30	30	19 %
F75-79	28	4	4	4	14 %
F80+	6	3	3	3	50 %
M18-34	39,831	4,892	4,651	4,533	11 %
M35-39	21,881	2,658	2,491	2,423	11 %
M40-44	24,574	3,195	2,996	2,901	12 %
M45-49	21,375	3,879	3,647	3,540	17 %
M50-54	16,786	2,965	2,769	2,675	16 %
M55-59	9,913	1,892	1,789	1,737	18 %
M60-64	5,183	1,113	1,065	1,034	20 %
M65-69	2,163	520	500	492	23 %
M70-74	765	166	160	156	20 %
M75-79	206	35	34	33	16 %
M80+	42	8	8	8	19 %
Total	243,242	36,863	34,737	33,765	14 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2016 = Number of Runners who met the projected Cutoff for the 2016 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 90s) 4. BQ2016% = Percentage of finishers meeting the projected BQ 20016 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Other Interesting Numbers:

Combined, to date - Year vs Year Analysis, By Age Group

	2015 Qualifying Year				2016 Qualifying Year
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	42,777	4,530	4,273	10 %	41,240	5,136	4,840	12 %
F35-39	17,221	2,321	2,171	13 %	16,721	2,440	2,306	14 %
F40-44	16,830	2,423	2,284	14 %	16,225	2,476	2,302	14 %
F45-49	12,617	2,518	2,400	19 %	12,094	2,539	2,383	20 %
F50-54	8,469	1,639	1,547	18 %	7,942	1,572	1,486	19 %
F55-59	3,904	746	712	18 %	3,978	844	798	20 %
F60-64	1,670	339	323	19 %	1,621	383	366	23 %
F65-69	510	115	107	21 %	513	111	109	21 %
F70-74	134	23	23	17 %	155	32	30	19 %
F75-79	19	5	5	26 %	28	4	4	14 %
F80+	7	2	1	14 %	6	3	3	50 %
M18-34	43,631	4,784	4,517	10 %	39,831	4,892	4,651	12 %
M35-39	23,616	2,709	2,504	11 %	21,881	2,658	2,491	11 %
M40-44	26,716	3,363	3,143	12 %	24,574	3,195	2,996	12 %
M45-49	22,773	3,779	3,547	16 %	21,375	3,879	3,647	17 %
M50-54	17,882	2,947	2,730	15 %	16,786	2,965	2,769	16 %
M55-59	10,139	1,824	1,726	17 %	9,913	1,892	1,789	18 %
M60-64	5,495	1,105	1,052	19 %	5,183	1,113	1,065	21 %
M65-69	2,188	496	480	22 %	2,163	520	500	23 %
M70-74	779	176	168	22 %	765	166	160	21 %
M75-79	192	37	36	19 %	206	35	34	17 %
M80+	54	6	6	11 %	42	8	8	19 %
Total	257,623	35,887	33,755	13 %	243,242	36,863	34,737	14 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

84 Seconds is the Current Boston Marathon Cutoff Prediction for 2016.

The current trend for the 2016 Boston Marathon Cutoff is 84 seconds. (or 85 if you're a pessimist).

The Caveats:
The analysis assumes a lot of assumptions. I have outlined the objective and methodology on this page. Basically, I look at the number of people who qualified for the 2015 race, using the "feeder marathons". To qualify for the 2015 race, participants needed a BQ minus 1m2s. These races were all run last year. I then look at the same races for this year, and see how many people would qualify using the same cutoff.  If fewer people qualify, then I decrease to cutoff (make it easier to qualify), until the same number of people qualify as did last year. Conversely, if more people make the 1m2s cutoff than last year, I increase the cutoff (making it harder to qualify) until the same number of people qualify.

When I first Started...
...the list of 25 feeder marathons posted on the BAA website was different than it is now. I have updated my analysis to use the currently posted marathons. And to that, 20 individual marathon analyses are included at the end of this post.

The Big Wrench...
...in the analysis right now is the Berlin Marathon. There were many fewer finishers this year than last, and over 1,000 fewer Boston Qualifiers. Being that it is a mega-marathon (~ 30,000 runners), it has the power to sway the results one way or the other using the methodology employed. It has been presumed that a lower percentage of Berlin qualifiers would do Boston, than would a nearby a North American feeder race. So a better way to account for Berlin is still in the works.

The Big But...
But this is just the beginning, with a database packed full of data, I have a few idears on how to dig deeper into the data and improve the methodology. Stay tuned. And don't give up hope if you're sitting on a BQ with less than 84 seconds!

Table 1: Year vs Year, By Marathon

	2015 Qualifying Year				2016 Qualifying Year
Marathon	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
Big Cottonwood	1,308	262	244	19 %	1,527	284	252	17 %
Erie	978	312	280	29 %	959	317	289	30 %
Lehigh Valley	1,344	367	350	26 %	1,139	235	215	19 %
Berlin	36,122	5,769	5,455	15 %	29,027	4,530	4,308	15 %
St. George	5,818	1,198	1,137	20 %	5,806	997	939	16 %
Twin Cities	8,855	1,010	953	11 %	8,853	1,041	967	11 %
Portland	6,945	504	470	7 %	6,429	429	395	6 %
Chicago	38,854	3,527	3,314	9 %	40,581	4,004	3,762	9 %
Steamtown	2,165	377	359	17 %	2,184	431	408	19 %
Columbus	5,523	611	561	10 %	5,445	620	581	11 %
Toronto Waterfront	3,604	487	453	13 %	3,971	654	601	15 %
Baystate	1,304	301	271	21 %	1,531	378	350	23 %
Marine Corps	23,385	1,170	1,073	5 %	19,687	718	662	3 %
New York City	50,134	3,980	3,725	7 %	50,433	3,629	3,400	7 %
Indianapolis Monumental	3,521	518	483	14 %	3,725	594	552	15 %
Richmond	4,842	441	418	9 %	5,095	520	487	10 %
Philadelphia	10,914	1,341	1,252	11 %	10,333	1,337	1,235	12 %
California International	6,238	1,292	1,195	19 %	5,793	1,291	1,185	20 %
Houston	6,945	698	651	9 %	7,133	698	648	9 %
Boston	31,210	10,564	10,046	32 %	26,635	12,792	12,218	46 %
TOTAL	250,009	34,729	32,690	13 %	236,286	35,499	33,454	14 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Analysis
Looking at the table above: 250,009 runners finished a 2015 qualifying race, whereas 236,286 finished a 2016 race: 14,000 fewer people. However, more people met the minimum BQ standard 35,499 for the 2016 qualifying year versus 34,729 for the 2015 qualifying year. Moreover, more people met the 1 minute and 2 second cutoff in the 2016 qualifying year so far than did in 2015.

If the Boston Marathon registration opened today - assuming what we assume (see objective and methodology) - there wouldn't be enough spots for everyone. We are assuming there will be 32,690 spots, so we have to make it harder for people to get in. We have to increase the cutoff so that we whittle the 33,454 people (who met the 2015 cutoff in a 2016 qualifying race) down to the 32,690 spots allocated.

Through a numerical modelling approach, the answer to the solution, of what the cutoff should be becomes 84 seconds.

At 84 seconds, 32,711 people will make it into the marathon. (21 more than this year).

At 85 seconds, 32,674 people will make it into the marathon. (16 fewer than this year)

Table 2: Projected qualifiers by AG based on an 84 second cutoff.

AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015 @62s	BQ2016 @84s	BQ2016%
F18-34	40,283	4,996	4,707	4,602	11.4%
F35-39	16,206	2,352	2,225	2,178	13.4%
F40-44	15,700	2,375	2,211	2,154	13.7%
F45-49	11,709	2,418	2,269	2,209	18.9%
F50-54	7,677	1,499	1,419	1,388	18.1%
F55-59	3,860	804	759	750	19.4%
F60-64	1,578	373	356	354	22.4%
F65-69	504	112	110	108	21.4%
F70-74	152	32	30	30	19.7%
F75-79	28	4	4	4	14.3%
F80+	6	3	3	3	50.0%
M18-34	38,897	4,762	4,523	4,427	11.4%
M35-39	21,233	2,572	2,411	2,352	11.1%
M40-44	23,751	3,054	2,868	2,789	11.7%
M45-49	20,755	3,736	3,515	3,425	16.5%
M50-54	16,248	2,841	2,652	2,583	15.9%
M55-59	9,576	1,808	1,709	1,667	17.4%
M60-64	5,044	1,066	1,017	994	19.7%
M65-69	2,096	495	476	470	22.4%
M70-74	740	154	148	146	19.7%
M75-79	201	35	34	33	16.4%
M80+	42	8	8	8	19.0%
Total	236,286	35,499	33,454	32,674	13.8%
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2016 = Number of Runners who met the projected Cutoff for the 2016 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 14s) 4. BQ2016% = Percentage of finishers meeting the projected BQ 20016 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Other Interesting Numbers:

Combined, to date - Year vs Year Analysis, By Age Group

	2015 Qualifying Year				2016 Qualifying Year
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	41,742	4,427	4,179	10 %	40,283	4,996	4,707	12 %
F35-39	16,596	2,229	2,089	13 %	16,206	2,352	2,225	14 %
F40-44	16,207	2,312	2,176	13 %	15,700	2,375	2,211	14 %
F45-49	12,204	2,444	2,331	19 %	11,709	2,418	2,269	19 %
F50-54	8,182	1,597	1,509	18 %	7,677	1,499	1,419	18 %
F55-59	3,777	717	685	18 %	3,860	804	759	20 %
F60-64	1,617	324	309	19 %	1,578	373	356	23 %
F65-69	499	114	107	21 %	504	112	110	22 %
F70-74	132	23	23	17 %	152	32	30	20 %
F75-79	19	5	5	26 %	28	4	4	14 %
F80+	7	2	1	14 %	6	3	3	50 %
M18-34	42,637	4,669	4,416	10 %	38,897	4,762	4,523	12 %
M35-39	22,807	2,608	2,412	11 %	21,233	2,572	2,411	11 %
M40-44	25,883	3,254	3,043	12 %	23,751	3,054	2,868	12 %
M45-49	22,072	3,652	3,434	16 %	20,755	3,736	3,515	17 %
M50-54	17,318	2,829	2,624	15 %	16,248	2,841	2,652	16 %
M55-59	9,842	1,764	1,665	17 %	9,576	1,808	1,709	18 %
M60-64	5,339	1,074	1,022	19 %	5,044	1,066	1,017	20 %
M65-69	2,138	477	461	22 %	2,096	495	476	23 %
M70-74	750	168	160	21 %	740	154	148	20 %
M75-79	188	35	34	18 %	201	35	34	17 %
M80+	53	5	5	9 %	42	8	8	19 %
Total	250,009	34,729	32,690	13 %	236,286	35,499	33,454	14 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Big Massive Appendix with all Feeder Race Analyses:

Big Cottonwood - Year vs Year Analysis

	Big Cottonwood 2013				Big Cottonwood 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	286	47	44	15 %	276	47	39	14 %
F35-39	175	39	38	22 %	174	31	29	17 %
F40-44	124	38	37	30 %	153	29	24	16 %
F45-49	70	17	17	24 %	99	23	18	18 %
F50-54	40	8	8	20 %	62	15	14	23 %
F55-59	23	7	6	26 %	35	13	12	34 %
F60-64	14	3	3	21 %	13			0 %
F65-69	1	1	1	100 %	8	1	1	13 %
F70-74					2			0 %
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	158	15	13	8 %	157	16	13	8 %
M35-39	102	13	9	9 %	117	23	20	17 %
M40-44	89	10	10	11 %	125	22	21	17 %
M45-49	88	28	26	30 %	109	23	22	20 %
M50-54	67	19	18	27 %	82	16	16	20 %
M55-59	43	10	8	19 %	70	12	11	16 %
M60-64	20	4	3	15 %	24	6	5	21 %
M65-69	7	3	3	43 %	15	4	4	27 %
M70-74	1			0 %	4	2	2	50 %
M75-79					2	1	1	50 %
M80+
Total	1,308	262	244	19 %	1,527	284	252	17 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Erie Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Erie Marathon 2013				Erie Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	144	33	32	22 %	153	41	37	24 %
F35-39	73	24	21	29 %	92	22	20	22 %
F40-44	71	22	19	27 %	79	31	29	37 %
F45-49	65	35	32	49 %	69	29	26	38 %
F50-54	31	13	13	42 %	37	17	15	41 %
F55-59	16	7	7	44 %	22	11	9	41 %
F60-64	2			0 %	9	4	4	44 %
F65-69	2			0 %	4	2	2	50 %
F70-74					2	1	1	50 %
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	125	32	31	25 %	97	23	23	24 %
M35-39	85	19	16	19 %	78	18	16	21 %
M40-44	98	31	26	27 %	82	15	14	17 %
M45-49	75	26	24	32 %	88	34	32	36 %
M50-54	91	33	28	31 %	72	32	24	33 %
M55-59	52	17	14	27 %	37	19	19	51 %
M60-64	28	12	9	32 %	27	15	15	56 %
M65-69	14	6	6	43 %	9	2	2	22 %
M70-74	5	2	2	40 %
M75-79	1			0 %	1			0 %
M80+					1	1	1	100 %
Total	978	312	280	29 %	959	317	289	30 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Lehigh Valley - Year vs Year Analysis

	Lehigh Valley 2013				Lehigh Valley 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	203	52	50	25 %	179	41	37	21 %
F35-39	81	16	16	20 %	93	24	23	25 %
F40-44	88	15	14	16 %	67	14	14	21 %
F45-49	70	29	29	41 %	59	10	10	17 %
F50-54	46	18	16	35 %	38	5	5	13 %
F55-59	18	8	8	44 %	24	5	5	21 %
F60-64	12	4	4	33 %	5	2	2	40 %
F65-69	1	1	1	100 %	5	4	4	80 %
F70-74
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	235	63	60	26 %	194	39	33	17 %
M35-39	113	27	25	22 %	96	21	19	20 %
M40-44	138	31	29	21 %	92	15	15	16 %
M45-49	117	35	34	29 %	92	18	16	17 %
M50-54	97	23	22	23 %	88	12	10	11 %
M55-59	76	26	23	30 %	59	13	12	20 %
M60-64	32	12	12	38 %	35	8	6	17 %
M65-69	17	7	7	41 %	13	4	4	31 %
M70-74
M75-79
M80+
Total	1,344	367	350	26 %	1,139	235	215	19 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Berlin Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Berlin Marathon 2013				Berlin Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	2,234	209	200	9 %	1,985	208	194	10 %
F35-39	1,249	172	164	13 %	1,006	159	147	15 %
F40-44	1,677	258	244	15 %	1,231	197	189	15 %
F45-49	1,706	327	314	18 %	1,222	228	219	18 %
F50-54	1,207	246	227	19 %	793	138	129	16 %
F55-59	485	110	104	21 %	360	82	77	21 %
F60-64	208	60	60	29 %	144	47	46	32 %
F65-69	69	25	24	35 %	42	11	11	26 %
F70-74	21	5	5	24 %	13	6	5	38 %
F75-79	2	1	1	50 %	2	1	1	50 %
F80+	2			0 %
M18-34	5,715	627	600	10 %	4,429	503	477	11 %
M35-39	3,919	530	478	12 %	3,200	424	400	13 %
M40-44	5,199	794	752	14 %	4,219	620	595	14 %
M45-49	5,224	971	926	18 %	4,218	770	734	17 %
M50-54	3,785	695	649	17 %	3,201	546	515	16 %
M55-59	1,932	352	334	17 %	1,632	299	285	17 %
M60-64	924	225	214	23 %	803	155	150	19 %
M65-69	374	116	114	30 %	333	94	92	28 %
M70-74	148	38	37	25 %	148	33	33	22 %
M75-79	36	8	8	22 %	41	8	8	20 %
M80+	6			0 %	5	1	1	20 %
Total	36,122	5,769	5,455	15 %	29,027	4,530	4,308	15 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

St. George Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	St. George Marathon 2013				St. George Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	972	153	146	15 %	894	130	123	14 %
F35-39	551	141	134	24 %	641	138	129	20 %
F40-44	433	98	95	22 %	457	91	85	19 %
F45-49	261	83	81	31 %	278	68	67	24 %
F50-54	228	70	66	29 %	233	41	37	16 %
F55-59	124	29	29	23 %	135	27	27	20 %
F60-64	67	23	22	33 %	65	14	13	20 %
F65-69	11	2	2	18 %	15	3	3	20 %
F70-74	3			0 %	8	1	1	13 %
F75-79	2	1	1	50 %	2			0 %
F80+
M18-34	827	86	81	10 %	733	69	62	8 %
M35-39	526	97	89	17 %	524	67	63	12 %
M40-44	513	96	86	17 %	475	64	61	13 %
M45-49	406	110	106	26 %	410	95	89	22 %
M50-54	334	70	66	20 %	344	82	75	22 %
M55-59	298	70	68	23 %	306	53	51	17 %
M60-64	149	34	33	22 %	158	24	23	15 %
M65-69	63	17	14	22 %	82	18	18	22 %
M70-74	39	17	17	44 %	36	11	11	31 %
M75-79	10	1	1	10 %	9	1	1	11 %
M80+	1			0 %	1			0 %
Total	5,818	1,198	1,137	20 %	5,806	997	939	16 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Twin Cities Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Twin Cities Marathon 2013				Twin Cities Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	2,109	195	187	9 %	2,119	190	181	9 %
F35-39	673	87	81	12 %	654	66	63	10 %
F40-44	487	68	62	13 %	537	69	65	12 %
F45-49	338	57	56	17 %	335	72	67	20 %
F50-54	199	39	36	18 %	198	36	35	18 %
F55-59	85	21	21	25 %	109	26	25	23 %
F60-64	30	10	7	23 %	33	11	9	27 %
F65-69	9	3	3	33 %	11	6	5	45 %
F70-74	1	1	1	100 %	1			0 %
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	1,989	163	158	8 %	1,926	178	168	9 %
M35-39	708	59	52	7 %	707	70	63	9 %
M40-44	693	66	57	8 %	671	60	49	7 %
M45-49	546	77	72	13 %	564	81	71	13 %
M50-54	463	63	63	14 %	465	68	65	14 %
M55-59	297	50	47	16 %	295	53	51	17 %
M60-64	143	29	28	20 %	140	32	30	21 %
M65-69	61	14	14	23 %	61	14	11	18 %
M70-74	18	7	7	39 %	24	8	8	33 %
M75-79	4	1	1	25 %	3	1	1	33 %
M80+	2			0 %
Total	8,855	1,010	953	11 %	8,853	1,041	967	11 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Portland Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Portland Marathon 2013				Portland Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	1,555	81	75	5 %	1,436	96	88	6 %
F35-39	632	36	34	5 %	536	28	28	5 %
F40-44	511	44	42	8 %	479	32	29	6 %
F45-49	360	34	31	9 %	343	27	23	7 %
F50-54	256	29	27	11 %	240	20	19	8 %
F55-59	179	12	11	6 %	166	10	9	5 %
F60-64	85	10	10	12 %	77	8	8	10 %
F65-69	37	3	2	5 %	30	4	4	13 %
F70-74	14	1	1	7 %	12	2	2	17 %
F75-79	5			0 %	5			0 %
F80+
M18-34	1,127	62	57	5 %	1,064	65	62	6 %
M35-39	525	31	31	6 %	462	19	16	3 %
M40-44	524	27	26	5 %	480	24	23	5 %
M45-49	383	48	43	11 %	394	31	26	7 %
M50-54	317	30	25	8 %	289	20	20	7 %
M55-59	214	33	32	15 %	185	14	12	6 %
M60-64	128	13	13	10 %	130	20	19	15 %
M65-69	54	9	9	17 %	57	8	7	12 %
M70-74	25	1	1	4 %	32	1		0 %
M75-79	10			0 %	9			0 %
M80+	4			0 %	3			0 %
Total	6,945	504	470	7 %	6,429	429	395	6 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Chicago Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Chicago Marathon 2013				Chicago Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	8,938	598	563	6 %	9,439	733	685	7 %
F35-39	2,851	233	216	8 %	2,956	298	284	10 %
F40-44	2,420	230	211	9 %	2,641	252	239	9 %
F45-49	1,524	207	197	13 %	1,651	223	212	13 %
F50-54	1,005	126	120	12 %	981	129	119	12 %
F55-59	423	60	58	14 %	473	65	62	13 %
F60-64	166	22	22	13 %	178	27	23	13 %
F65-69	48	8	7	15 %	61	7	7	11 %
F70-74	12	3	3	25 %	14	2	2	14 %
F75-79					2			0 %
F80+
M18-34	8,007	576	543	7 %	8,076	683	648	8 %
M35-39	3,596	306	287	8 %	3,671	305	280	8 %
M40-44	3,582	319	294	8 %	3,668	357	336	9 %
M45-49	2,512	319	302	12 %	2,723	357	340	12 %
M50-54	1,975	255	236	12 %	2,017	283	256	13 %
M55-59	1,033	137	134	13 %	1,199	162	151	13 %
M60-64	511	83	78	15 %	555	79	77	14 %
M65-69	184	33	32	17 %	198	32	31	16 %
M70-74	51	11	10	20 %	56	8	8	14 %
M75-79	13	1	1	8 %	19	2	2	11 %
M80+	3			0 %	3			0 %
Total	38,854	3,527	3,314	9 %	40,581	4,004	3,762	9 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Steamtown Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Steamtown Marathon 2013				Steamtown Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	330	42	38	12 %	320	50	48	15 %
F35-39	183	32	31	17 %	170	32	31	18 %
F40-44	155	24	23	15 %	171	32	29	17 %
F45-49	122	26	26	21 %	155	45	42	27 %
F50-54	82	19	18	22 %	77	15	13	17 %
F55-59	29	5	5	17 %	28	5	5	18 %
F60-64	10	3	3	30 %	13	4	4	31 %
F65-69	4	2	2	50 %	3			0 %
F70-74					1	1	1	100 %
F75-79					1			0 %
F80+
M18-34	295	46	43	15 %	328	53	51	16 %
M35-39	173	25	24	14 %	184	26	24	13 %
M40-44	218	35	31	14 %	189	33	29	15 %
M45-49	191	38	37	19 %	192	44	43	22 %
M50-54	178	37	36	20 %	160	35	32	20 %
M55-59	102	21	21	21 %	104	26	26	25 %
M60-64	59	13	12	20 %	55	22	22	40 %
M65-69	21	7	7	33 %	18	5	5	28 %
M70-74	7	1	1	14 %	10	2	2	20 %
M75-79	3	1	1	33 %	4	1	1	25 %
M80+	3			0 %	1			0 %
Total	2,165	377	359	17 %	2,184	431	408	19 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Columbus Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Columbus Marathon 2013				Columbus Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	1,305	119	108	8 %	1,239	122	116	9 %
F35-39	370	45	40	11 %	416	42	39	9 %
F40-44	343	32	31	9 %	347	31	30	9 %
F45-49	199	30	29	15 %	230	30	28	12 %
F50-54	113	17	16	14 %	148	19	18	12 %
F55-59	43	5	5	12 %	55	9	8	15 %
F60-64	28	5	4	14 %	29	6	5	17 %
F65-69	5			0 %	10	1	1	10 %
F70-74	2			0 %	3			0 %
F75-79	1			0 %	1			0 %
F80+
M18-34	1,307	127	118	9 %	1,194	127	118	10 %
M35-39	464	43	38	8 %	452	39	38	8 %
M40-44	458	40	33	7 %	426	45	41	10 %
M45-49	360	63	59	16 %	348	60	53	15 %
M50-54	253	33	30	12 %	269	48	47	17 %
M55-59	153	30	29	19 %	158	18	16	10 %
M60-64	73	16	16	22 %	77	17	17	22 %
M65-69	34	6	5	15 %	29	5	5	17 %
M70-74	8			0 %	12	1	1	8 %
M75-79	4			0 %	2			0 %
M80+
Total	5,523	611	561	10 %	5,445	620	581	11 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Toronto Waterfront Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Toronto Waterfront Marathon 2013				Toronto Waterfront Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	545	57	51	9 %	575	80	72	13 %
F35-39	212	38	35	17 %	222	34	32	14 %
F40-44	192	37	36	19 %	246	48	44	18 %
F45-49	160	27	25	16 %	200	55	50	25 %
F50-54	109	30	28	26 %	101	22	20	20 %
F55-59	40	11	11	28 %	61	22	21	34 %
F60-64	11	7	7	64 %	19	4	4	21 %
F65-69	2	1	1	50 %	3	1	1	33 %
F70-74	2	1	1	50 %	1			0 %
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	751	58	52	7 %	832	92	86	10 %
M35-39	390	46	41	11 %	386	45	39	10 %
M40-44	392	42	38	10 %	429	57	52	12 %
M45-49	307	46	43	14 %	349	66	61	17 %
M50-54	247	35	34	14 %	265	57	51	19 %
M55-59	137	25	24	18 %	156	33	32	21 %
M60-64	67	16	16	24 %	80	25	24	30 %
M65-69	33	9	9	27 %	39	12	11	28 %
M70-74	4			0 %	5	1	1	20 %
M75-79	2			0 %	2			0 %
M80+	1	1	1	100 %
Total	3,604	487	453	13 %	3,971	654	601	15 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Baystate Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Baystate Marathon 2013				Baystate Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	220	43	43	20 %	274	66	58	21 %
F35-39	87	15	13	15 %	115	30	29	25 %
F40-44	76	22	22	29 %	113	24	21	19 %
F45-49	60	19	15	25 %	90	32	31	34 %
F50-54	39	11	10	26 %	45	15	14	31 %
F55-59	23	10	10	43 %	20	9	8	40 %
F60-64	6	3	3	50 %	6	1	1	17 %
F65-69	2			0 %	3	2	2	67 %
F70-74
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	261	54	48	18 %	282	51	45	16 %
M35-39	101	22	21	21 %	134	29	27	20 %
M40-44	147	29	24	16 %	151	26	25	17 %
M45-49	116	23	19	16 %	116	31	28	24 %
M50-54	87	20	15	17 %	85	24	23	27 %
M55-59	44	14	13	30 %	61	22	22	36 %
M60-64	25	12	11	44 %	25	11	11	44 %
M65-69	8	3	3	38 %	8	4	4	50 %
M70-74	2	1	1	50 %	2	1	1	50 %
M75-79					1			0 %
M80+
Total	1,304	301	271	21 %	1,531	378	350	23 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Marine Corps Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Marine Corps Marathon 2013				Marine Corps Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	4,511	224	203	5 %	3,611	132	119	3 %
F35-39	1,667	86	81	5 %	1,405	33	29	2 %
F40-44	1,557	86	75	5 %	1,425	58	51	4 %
F45-49	985	84	78	8 %	962	69	66	7 %
F50-54	708	46	45	6 %	669	29	28	4 %
F55-59	302	20	19	6 %	327	13	13	4 %
F60-64	116	6	6	5 %	122	13	12	10 %
F65-69	42	2	1	2 %	48	4	4	8 %
F70-74	7			0 %	13	1	1	8 %
F75-79	1			0 %	2			0 %
F80+
M18-34	4,704	191	172	4 %	3,500	97	91	3 %
M35-39	2,188	77	72	3 %	1,810	45	40	2 %
M40-44	2,355	82	79	3 %	1,856	50	44	2 %
M45-49	1,704	88	80	5 %	1,519	57	54	4 %
M50-54	1,239	65	58	5 %	1,122	43	39	3 %
M55-59	704	52	46	7 %	698	32	31	4 %
M60-64	392	41	39	10 %	366	21	21	6 %
M65-69	142	14	13	9 %	170	18	16	9 %
M70-74	50	5	5	10 %	49	3	3	6 %
M75-79	7			0 %	12			0 %
M80+	4	1	1	25 %	1			0 %
Total	23,385	1,170	1,073	5 %	19,687	718	662	3 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

New York City Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	New York City Marathon 2013				New York City Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	7,365	438	410	6 %	7,532	431	405	5 %
F35-39	3,250	238	219	7 %	3,378	206	195	6 %
F40-44	3,528	301	281	8 %	3,539	261	245	7 %
F45-49	2,477	317	297	12 %	2,643	279	260	10 %
F50-54	1,661	199	187	11 %	1,835	209	190	10 %
F55-59	791	99	94	12 %	896	126	118	13 %
F60-64	329	41	39	12 %	400	43	42	11 %
F65-69	102	16	15	15 %	121	11	11	9 %
F70-74	36	3	3	8 %	43	2	1	2 %
F75-79	3			0 %	9	1	1	11 %
F80+	4	2	1	25 %	2	1	1	50 %
M18-34	7,457	443	423	6 %	7,246	395	373	5 %
M35-39	5,009	285	262	5 %	4,939	254	237	5 %
M40-44	5,985	414	386	6 %	5,892	332	305	5 %
M45-49	4,744	416	391	8 %	4,630	394	373	8 %
M50-54	3,845	378	347	9 %	3,762	325	304	8 %
M55-59	1,857	192	182	10 %	1,902	174	163	9 %
M60-64	1,101	125	120	11 %	1,048	116	112	11 %
M65-69	383	46	45	12 %	415	51	48	12 %
M70-74	153	21	18	12 %	153	15	13	8 %
M75-79	39	5	4	10 %	38	3	3	8 %
M80+	15	1	1	7 %	10			0 %
Total	50,134	3,980	3,725	7 %	50,433	3,629	3,400	7 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Indianapolis Monumental Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Indianapolis Monumental Marathon 2013				Indianapolis Monumental Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	629	80	77	12 %	650	103	95	15 %
F35-39	299	36	35	12 %	296	36	35	12 %
F40-44	238	33	28	12 %	244	45	43	18 %
F45-49	154	36	34	22 %	153	33	28	18 %
F50-54	100	15	15	15 %	113	27	26	23 %
F55-59	49	10	10	20 %	61	6	6	10 %
F60-64	42	8	8	19 %	32	9	9	28 %
F65-69	6	1	1	17 %	11	2	2	18 %
F70-74
F75-79					1			0 %
F80+					1			0 %
M18-34	636	86	77	12 %	611	96	86	14 %
M35-39	319	30	27	8 %	377	49	45	12 %
M40-44	339	45	42	12 %	354	40	37	10 %
M45-49	284	56	49	17 %	301	50	48	16 %
M50-54	218	34	34	16 %	243	48	44	18 %
M55-59	107	21	21	20 %	153	23	21	14 %
M60-64	71	16	15	21 %	73	17	17	23 %
M65-69	23	10	9	39 %	37	5	5	14 %
M70-74	7	1	1	14 %	10	3	3	30 %
M75-79					2			0 %
M80+					2	2	2	100 %
Total	3,521	518	483	14 %	3,725	594	552	15 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Richmond Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Richmond Marathon 2013				Richmond Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	1,003	91	86	9 %	1,154	117	110	10 %
F35-39	418	27	25	6 %	466	35	32	7 %
F40-44	407	26	24	6 %	445	42	39	9 %
F45-49	257	30	30	12 %	277	32	32	12 %
F50-54	159	22	21	13 %	163	14	14	9 %
F55-59	71	9	9	13 %	91	11	11	12 %
F60-64	27	1	1	4 %	27	6	6	22 %
F65-69	8	1	1	13 %	6	2	2	33 %
F70-74	3			0 %	2	1	1	50 %
F75-79	1			0 %
F80+
M18-34	819	86	81	10 %	811	87	80	10 %
M35-39	382	30	29	8 %	349	20	20	6 %
M40-44	405	27	25	6 %	402	41	38	9 %
M45-49	352	29	28	8 %	353	36	33	9 %
M50-54	255	27	26	10 %	260	26	23	9 %
M55-59	144	15	13	9 %	151	21	20	13 %
M60-64	80	15	14	18 %	81	16	14	17 %
M65-69	29	3	3	10 %	35	10	9	26 %
M70-74	18	2	2	11 %	19	3	3	16 %
M75-79	4			0 %	3			0 %
M80+
Total	4,842	441	418	9 %	5,095	520	487	10 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Philadelphia Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	Philadelphia Marathon 2013				Philadelphia Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	2,631	291	272	10 %	2,372	257	238	10 %
F35-39	779	102	93	12 %	736	92	86	12 %
F40-44	646	73	70	11 %	621	77	69	11 %
F45-49	441	86	84	19 %	431	82	78	18 %
F50-54	254	51	49	19 %	269	48	43	16 %
F55-59	101	22	21	21 %	133	18	17	13 %
F60-64	33	4	2	6 %	40	9	8	20 %
F65-69	8	2	2	25 %	11			0 %
F70-74	4	1	1	25 %
F75-79					1			0 %
F80+					1	1	1	100 %
M18-34	2,476	245	227	9 %	2,266	242	225	10 %
M35-39	927	87	79	9 %	858	97	88	10 %
M40-44	876	91	83	9 %	850	88	82	10 %
M45-49	704	102	94	13 %	705	134	121	17 %
M50-54	524	79	75	14 %	535	100	93	17 %
M55-59	319	64	60	19 %	305	58	54	18 %
M60-64	134	28	27	20 %	139	25	24	17 %
M65-69	42	10	10	24 %	37	8	7	19 %
M70-74	12	3	3	25 %	15	1	1	7 %
M75-79	2			0 %	5			0 %
M80+	1			0 %	3			0 %
Total	10,914	1,341	1,252	11 %	10,333	1,337	1,235	12 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

California International Marathon - Year vs Year Analysis

	California International Marathon 2013				California International Marathon 2014
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	980	205	191	19 %	859	182	174	20 %
F35-39	495	84	78	16 %	439	85	77	18 %
F40-44	497	94	90	18 %	430	83	71	17 %
F45-49	374	78	69	18 %	363	77	66	18 %
F50-54	262	51	45	17 %	256	56	51	20 %
F55-59	129	27	26	20 %	146	26	21	14 %
F60-64	49	7	7	14 %	46	12	12	26 %
F65-69	18	2	2	11 %	15	7	7	47 %
F70-74	5	1	1	20 %	13	4	4	31 %
F75-79
F80+					1	1	1	100 %
M18-34	822	157	145	18 %	729	181	171	23 %
M35-39	540	93	85	16 %	455	76	71	16 %
M40-44	624	111	98	16 %	551	110	98	18 %
M45-49	564	156	142	25 %	549	142	129	23 %
M50-54	433	104	97	22 %	445	109	98	22 %
M55-59	240	63	62	26 %	250	66	64	26 %
M60-64	126	35	33	26 %	143	46	43	30 %
M65-69	50	12	12	24 %	72	18	18	25 %
M70-74	22	11	11	50 %	23	7	7	30 %
M75-79	6	1	1	17 %	6	2	1	17 %
M80+	2			0 %	2	1	1	50 %
Total	6,238	1,292	1,195	19 %	5,793	1,291	1,185	20 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Houston - Year vs Year Analysis

	Houston 2014				Houston 2015
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	1,003	92	85	8 %	1,049	100	96	9 %
F35-39	507	66	63	12 %	542	54	50	9 %
F40-44	444	43	40	9 %	490	47	43	9 %
F45-49	304	44	42	14 %	318	47	42	13 %
F50-54	196	29	27	14 %	214	35	33	15 %
F55-59	85	11	9	11 %	112	14	14	13 %
F60-64	40	3	3	8 %	50	8	8	16 %
F65-69	5	2	2	40 %	6	2	2	33 %
F70-74	2			0 %	4			0 %
F75-79
F80+
M18-34	1,215	95	91	7 %	1,205	93	85	7 %
M35-39	681	38	35	5 %	686	51	45	7 %
M40-44	710	52	51	7 %	730	51	47	6 %
M45-49	626	71	67	11 %	610	62	55	9 %
M50-54	516	61	53	10 %	486	60	59	12 %
M55-59	352	44	38	11 %	355	43	38	11 %
M60-64	170	30	29	17 %	186	18	18	10 %
M65-69	64	10	9	14 %	65	8	8	12 %
M70-74	16	3	3	19 %	19	4	4	21 %
M75-79	6	3	3	50 %	6	1	1	17 %
M80+	3	1	1	33 %
Total	6,945	698	651	9 %	7,133	698	648	9 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.

Boston - Year vs Year Analysis

	Boston 2014				Boston 2015
AG	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	BQ2015%
F18-34	4,779	1,377	1,318	28 %	4,167	1,870	1,792	43 %
F35-39	2,044	712	672	33 %	1,869	907	867	46 %
F40-44	2,313	768	732	32 %	1,985	912	852	43 %
F45-49	2,277	878	845	37 %	1,831	957	904	49 %
F50-54	1,487	558	535	36 %	1,205	609	596	49 %
F55-59	761	234	222	29 %	606	306	291	48 %
F60-64	342	104	98	29 %	270	145	140	52 %
F65-69	119	42	40	34 %	91	42	41	45 %
F70-74	20	7	7	35 %	20	11	11	55 %
F75-79	4	3	3	75 %	2	2	2	100 %
F80+	1			0 %	1			0 %
M18-34	3,711	1,457	1,396	38 %	3,217	1,672	1,626	51 %
M35-39	2,059	750	712	35 %	1,748	894	860	49 %
M40-44	2,538	912	873	34 %	2,109	1,004	956	45 %
M45-49	2,769	950	892	32 %	2,485	1,251	1,187	48 %
M50-54	2,394	768	712	30 %	2,058	907	858	42 %
M55-59	1,738	528	496	29 %	1,500	667	630	42 %
M60-64	1,106	315	300	27 %	899	393	369	41 %
M65-69	535	142	137	26 %	403	175	171	42 %
M70-74	164	44	41	25 %	123	50	47	38 %
M75-79	41	14	14	34 %	36	15	15	42 %
M80+	8	1	1	13 %	10	3	3	30 %
Total	31,210	10,564	10,046	32 %	26,635	12,792	12,218	46 %
Notes: 1. BQ = Number of Runners who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard 2. BQ2015 = Number of Runners who met the Cutoff for the 2015 Boston Marathon (BQ minus 1m 2s) 3. BQ2015% = Percentage of finishers meeting the BQ 20015 cutoff time. 4. AG = Age Group on the day of the feeder race, not the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.    This is a small source of error, as a person may "age-up" for the subsequent year's Boston Marathon.