Indianapolis Monumental Marathon Analysis - 2015 BQs vs 2016 BQs

The 2014 Indianapolis Monumental Marathon was run on Saturday, November 1, 2014. This event falls in the 2016 Boston Marathon Qualification period. This marathon is listed as one of the top 25 feeder marathons for the Boston Marathon. There were more finishers this year than last. There were more people meeting the minimum BQ standard times this year. There were more people meeting the 2015 BQ Cutoff Time (BQ Standard minus 1m 2s).

Indianapolis Monumental Marathon BQ Comparison
Age Group	2015 Qualifying Year			2016 Qualifying Year
	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015	Finishers	BQ	BQ2015
F18-34	629	80	77	650	103	95
F35-39	299	36	35	296	36	35
F40-44	238	33	28	244	45	43
F45-49	154	36	34	153	33	28
F50-54	100	15	15	113	27	26
F55-59	49	10	10	61	6	6
F60-64	42	8	8	32	9	9
F65-69	6	1	1	11	2	2
F70-74	-	-	-	-	-	-
F75-79	-	-	-	1	-	-
F80+	-	-	-	1	-	-
M18-34	636	86	77	611	96	86
M35-39	319	30	27	377	49	45
M40-44	339	45	42	354	40	37
M45-49	284	56	49	301	50	48
M50-54	218	34	34	243	48	44
M55-59	107	21	21	153	23	21
M60-64	71	16	15	73	17	17
M65-69	23	10	9	37	5	5
M70-74	7	1	1	10	3	3
M75-79	-	-	-	2	-	-
M80+	-	-	-	2	2	2
Total	3,521	518	483	3,725	594	552
Notes: 1) Races for 2015 Qualifying Year are races that were run prior to September 13, 2014. 2) Races for 2016 Qualifying Year are races that were run after September 13, 2014. 3) BQ indicates the number of people who met the minimum Boston Qualifying Standard for their age and gender 4) BQ2015 indicates the number of people who were under the cut-off for the 2015 Boston Marathon. The cut-off was 1minute and 2 seconds below BQ standard. 5) The Value BQ2015 under 2016 Qualifying Year header is used for comparison purposes. It indicates the number of people who ran a race in the 2016 qualifying year that had a time under the 2015 cutoff.

Using this race to predict the trend for the 2015 cutoff, assuming the same number of participants applying (etc., etc., etc.,), since there were more people meeting the BQ2015 time standard, you would expect that this would shift the cutoff time upwards, making it more difficult to qualify for the 2016 Boston Marathon than the 2015 Boston Marathon.